Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	4.8
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.68	3.4	5.44
	1.7	3.33	5.5
	1.66	3.45	5.37
	1.66	3.35	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.37)	3.41 ↓ (4.33)	5.19 ↓ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
55.3%

Draw
27%

Calahorra
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao B's form might have worsened.

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Rincon Lumbreras H. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Hernandez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 1, Canales P. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 2.

Athletic Bilbao B is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Calahorra is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.03.24	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	San Juan - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Mutilvera	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Zaragoza B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWT
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.03.24	Calahorra - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Brea - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Real Sociedad C - Calahorra	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Calahorra - Náxara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.11.23	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	2:3
02.10.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.05.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	1:3
09.01.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.04.21	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
07.04.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	2:1

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