The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Club U20 12.5%
Draw 20.7%
Cruzeiro U20 66.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
26.1%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
25.9%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Club U20's form might have worsened.
Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruzeiro U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club U20 than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Athletic Club U20 - Cruzeiro U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,
Preview
First leg.
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Mineiro U20 PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Mineiro U20 PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
Athletic U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cruzeiro U20 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Recently, Cruzeiro U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cruzeiro U20 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Athletic U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:12 (averaging 0.8:3 goals per game).