Match Info

BRAZIL: BRASILEIRO WOMEN - ROUND 11

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday

Location: Arena da Baixada (Curitiba)


	Athletico Paranaense		Bahia

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	3.02	3.09	2.29
	2.89	3.48	2.21
	2.85	3.4	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.5)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
32.7%

Draw
27.3%

Bahia
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.4%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Athletico Paranaense - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women and 9).

Athletico PR has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bahia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense Women
Brasileiro Women
05.05.23	Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Real Brasilia - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária	1:4 ✺
31.03.23	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
07.05.23	Bahia - Real Ariquemes	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Flamengo - Bahia	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Bahia - Real Brasilia	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Ferroviária - Bahia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
27.08.22	Bahia - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 penalties
22.08.22	Athletico Paranaense - Bahia	1:1
28.11.20	Bahia - Athletico Paranaense	1:0
21.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - Bahia	1:3

Athletico Paranaense - Bahia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide