Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 5

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Athletico Paranaense U20		Grêmio U20

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.05
	1.62	4.17	4.8
	1.71	3.92	4.06
	1.6	3.7	4.4
	1.72	4.01	4.01
	1.69	3.75	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	4.24 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense U20
54.9%

Draw
23.5%

Grêmio U20
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

23.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Grêmio U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 - Grêmio U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Lucas Amorim ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Arnaldo ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Nathan Borges ⚽,
55', 1 - 3, Adrielson ⚽,
67', 2 - 3, Sorriso ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Sorriso ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 2.

Athletico PR U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Grêmio U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grêmio U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Athletico PR U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Athletico PR U20 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Athletico PR U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR U20 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 2.4:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brasileiro U20
01.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Santos U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
26.03.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Paraná Clube Curitiba U20	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Coritiba U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	4:0 ✺
04.03.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Araucária U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW
- Grêmio RS U20
Brazilian Gaucho U20
04.04.26	Grêmio U20 - São Luiz U20	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Grêmio U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
21.03.26	Grêmio U20 - Juventude U20	5:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
02.03.26	Grêmio U20 - Corinthians U20	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	Santos U20 - Grêmio U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
09.07.25	Grêmio U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:2
28.07.24	Grêmio U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:0
Brazilian Copinha
16.01.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Grêmio U20	5:3
Copa do Brasil U20
05.09.23	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Grêmio U20	0:0
30.08.23	Grêmio U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1
Brasileiro U20
02.03.23	Grêmio U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1
Brazilian Copinha
14.01.23	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Grêmio U20	3:2

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