Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: CT do Caju (Curitiba) 🌤️ ...


	Athletico Paranaense U20		Red Bull Bragantino U20

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.50	2.15
	2.68	3.5	2.2
	2.84	3.65	2.21
	2.79	3.68	2.19	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.16
	2.78	3.58	2.16
	2.65	3.45	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense U20
33.1%

Draw
25.4%

Red Bull Bragantino U20
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Athletico Paranaense U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Red Bull Bragantino U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Eduardo (G) 4. Bruno Baldini 3. Fabio L. 5. Feitosa G. 8. Guilherme Back 7. Italo 6. Joao Vigolo 9. Juliano Santini 11. Kaue Vinicius 10. Marezi L. 2. Vitinho	1. Monteiro R. (G) 6. Caue Nascimento 5. Chrystian 7. Felipinho 10. Gabriel Lopes 3. Gonzalez E. 9. Jhuan 2. Marquinhos 4. Palacios W. 8. Rafael Lima 11. Thalyson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Guilherme Back ↓, Leonardo Cerci ↑,
60', Juliano Santini ↓, Ruan F. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Thalyson ⚽,
66', Jhuan 🟨,
74', Jhuan ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
77', Vitinho ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
77', Italo ↓, Rhichey ↑,
86', Marezi L. ↓, Brito B. ↑,
86', Kaue Vinicius ↓, Rair ↑,

Preview

First leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Athletico PR U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 3.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brasileiro U20
01.07.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Vitória U20	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Avaí U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Fluminense U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:0 ✺
16.06.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Cruzeiro U20	3:0 ✺
09.06.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWL
- Red Bull Bragantino U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.26	Referência U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	1:4 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.07.26	América MG U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
28.06.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Capivariano U20	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
25.06.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:5 ✺
20.06.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
13.05.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	3:1
15.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	5:1
12.03.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	4:0
31.07.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	5:0
24.07.22	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	3:0

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