Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Referee: Gil M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 2
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Atlético Madrid		Barcelona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	18.5	8.3	1.07
	21.48	13.94	1.06
	25.00	15.20	1.02	Watch
	24	10.7	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	22.25 ↑ (13.45)	12.04 ↑ (5.35)	1.05 ↓ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
4.1%

Draw
7.7%

Barcelona
88.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.7%

16.9%

76.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

Atlético Madrid - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 5. Perez X. 4. Lauren Leal 15. Lloris S. 6. Boe Risa V. 23. Alexia 3. Medina A. 8. Garcia G. 18. Gio Garbelini 22. Luany 21. Iannuzzi F.	13. Coll C. (G) 22. Batlle O. 2. Paredes I. 4. Leon M. 24. Brugts E. 14. Bonmati A. 12. Guijarro P. 11. Putellas A. (C) 10. Graham C. 17. Pajor E. 9. Pina C.
Substitutes
17. Bartel J. 46. Gutierrez D. 7. Jensen S. 13. Larque P. (G) 29. Miranda N. 41. Rodriguez L. 20. Sarriegi A. 10. Vitoria A.	5. Aleixandri L. 23. Camara A. 1. Font G. (G) 19. Lopez V. 18. Nazareth K. 7. Paralluelo S. 6. Schertenleib S. 16. Serrajordi C. 8. Torrejon M.
Coaches
Alba V.	Romeu P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Brugts E. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Guijarro P. ⚽, Pina C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
52', Guijarro P. ↓, Serrajordi C. ↑,
53', 0 - 3, Pajor E. ⚽, Bonmati A. (A),
59', Alexia 🟨,
63', 0 - 4, Putellas A. ⚽, Bonmati A. (A),
64', Leon M. ↓, Aleixandri L. ↑,
64', Pina C. ↓, Paralluelo S. ↑,
64', Graham C. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
68', Gio Garbelini ↓, Sarriegi A. ↑,
68', Luany ↓, Jensen S. ↑,
68', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
71', Pajor E. ↓, Nazareth K. ↑,
73', Iannuzzi F. ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
79', Sarriegi A. 🟨,
80', Perez X. 🟨,
85', 0 - 5, Lopez V. ⚽, Paralluelo S. (A),
90+6', Garcia G. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 6, Aleixandri L. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 0.

Atlético Madrid is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barcelona is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:58. (average 0.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
UEFA Champions League Women
08.10.25	St. Pölten - Atlético Madrid	0:6 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
04.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Granada - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Häcken	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWTW
- FC Barcelona Women
UEFA Champions League Women
07.10.25	Barcelona - Bayern Munich	7:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
04.10.25	Eibar - Barcelona	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Barcelona - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sevilla - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
12.09.25	Barcelona - Logroño United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa De La Reina
07.06.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	2:0
Spanish Liga F Women
13.04.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	6:0
Spanish Supercopa Women
22.01.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	3:0
Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	0:3
18.02.24	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	2:0
15.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	0:1
15.04.23	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	4:0

Atlético Madrid - Barcelona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide