Match Info
Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 8Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Atlético Monte Azul |
|
Sertãozinho |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.37 |
3 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.15 |
2.72 |
 Watch |
 |
2.42 |
3.17 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.21 |
2.74 |
Watch |
 |
2.4 |
3 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.41 |
3.45 |
2.74 |
Watch |
 |
2.57 |
2.71 |
2.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.24) |
3.1 ↑
(2.82) |
2.78 ↓
(3.34) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Monte Azul
37.7% | Draw
29.4% | Sertãozinho
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sertãozinho's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sertãozinho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Monte Azul (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monte Azul (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Luketa ⚽,
- 75', 0 - 2, Luketa ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monte Azul won 2.Monte Azul is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Sertãozinho has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Sertãozinho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Monte Azul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monte Azul won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Monte Azul won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
