Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Atlético Olympic		Le Messager de Ngozi

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.78	3.13	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.79)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	2.35 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Olympic
33.5%

Draw
28.1%

Le Messager de Ngozi
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

21.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Le Messager de Ngozi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Olympic than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Olympic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Messager de Ngozi than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Messager de Ngozi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4).

Recent matches Atlético Olympic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Messager de Ngozi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Olympic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Le Messager de Ngozi have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Olympic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Olympic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Olympic FC
Burundi Premier League
30.01.21	Atlético Olympic - Bumamuru Standard	1:1 ✺
23.01.21	Atlético Olympic - Aigle Noir	2:1 ✺
15.01.21	Muzinga - Atlético Olympic	1:2 ✺
10.01.21	Atlético Olympic - Rukinzo	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Rukinzo - Atlético Olympic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLL
- Le Messager de Ngozi
Burundi Premier League
24.01.21	Dynamik - Le Messager de Ngozi	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	Inter Star - Le Messager de Ngozi	1:2 ✺
26.12.20	Le Messager de Ngozi - Dynamik	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Musongati - Le Messager de Ngozi	0:1 ✺
19.12.20	Bujumbura City - Le Messager de Ngozi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Burundi Premier League
12.10.19	Atlético Olympic - Le Messager de Ngozi	1:2

Atlético Olympic - Le Messager de Ngozi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide