The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Pantoja 47.2%
Draw 28.4%
Moca 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
25.6%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
25%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Pantoja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Pantoja's form might have worsened.
Moca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Pantoja than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Pantoja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moca than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Atlético Pantoja - Moca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Lavergne G. ⚽,
36', de Pena G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Louka B. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Ismael Diaz L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Pantoja won 2.
In recent matches, Atlético Pantoja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Moca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Atlético Pantoja is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Pantoja won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Pantoja won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
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