Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Porcuna		Martos

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	2.97
	2.38	2.82	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.29)	2.85 ↑ (2.84)	3.03 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porcuna
37.6%

Draw
32.2%

Martos
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

32%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Martos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Atlético Porcuna - Martos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Romero A. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Vera Pozo S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Romero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)

Atlético Porcuna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Martos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Porcuna might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético Porcuna - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mancha Real - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Porcuna - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLW
- Martos CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.10.25	Martos - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	El Palo - Martos	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Alhaurino - Martos	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Martos - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Granada B - Martos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.05.25	Martos - Atlético Porcuna	1:2
12.01.25	Atlético Porcuna - Martos	1:2

Atlético Porcuna - Martos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide