Match Info

Date: 29 September 2022, Thursday


	Atlético Tucumán 2		Patronato 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.15
	2.75	4.1	2
	2.65	4	2.08
	2.82	3.42	2.12
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	2.84	3.4	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (1.75)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	2.46 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán 2
35.8%

Draw
26.1%

Patronato 2
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

28.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tucumán 2's form might have worsened.

Patronato 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patronato 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tucumán 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato 2 than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patronato 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Atlético Tucumán 2 - Patronato 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán 2 will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Patronato 2 will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato 2: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 and 26).

Atlético Tucumán 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Patronato 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Atlético Tucumán 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Tucumán 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.09.22	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:2 ✺
19.09.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
12.09.22	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:1 ✺
07.09.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Banfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- Patronato 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.09.22	Patronato 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:4 ✺
17.09.22	Rosario Central 2 - Patronato 2	1:0 ✺
13.09.22	Patronato 2 - Racing Club 2	2:1 ✺
08.09.22	Platense 2 - Patronato 2	2:2 ✺
04.09.22	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Patronato 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
25.02.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Patronato 2	4:1

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