Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Atlas U21		Tijuana U21

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.91	3.6
	1.85	4.1	3.3	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.91	3.9	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)	3.4 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas U21
49.3%

Draw
23.8%

Tijuana U21
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Tijuana U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas U21 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana U21 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlas U21 - Tijuana U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tijuana U21 (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tijuana U21 (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Tijuana U21 (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Atlas U21 (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas U21 (votes: 1 - 25%). Tijuana U21 (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In recent matches, Atlas U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tijuana U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atlas U21 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlas U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
3	Club Tijuana U21	11	5	2	2	2	18:13	21
14	Atlas U21	12	4	0	3	5	15:16	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlas U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
27.02.26	Juárez U21 - Atlas U21	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Atlas U21 - Atlético San Luis U21	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Pachuca U21 - Atlas U21	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlas U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlas U21 - Mazatlan U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Club Tijuana U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
27.02.26	Tijuana U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	1:2 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Tijuana U21 - Mazatlan U21	4:0 ✺
13.02.26	Toluca U21 - Tijuana U21	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Tijuana U21 - Puebla U21	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Monterrey U21 - Tijuana U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
07.11.25	Tijuana U21 - Atlas U21	3:2

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