Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atletico Castegnato		Mestre

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.16	3.1	2.13
	3.16	3.1	2.13
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	3.18	3.1	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.37)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	2.27 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Castegnato
30.7%

Draw
29.2%

Mestre
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

29%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Castegnato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atletico Castegnato's form might have worsened.

Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mestre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Castegnato than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atletico Castegnato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mestre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 10).

Recent matches Castegnato is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mestre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castegnato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Castegnato
Italian Serie D - Group C
03.03.24	Bassano Virtus - Atletico Castegnato	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Atletico Castegnato - Este	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Atletico Castegnato	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Atletico Castegnato - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Mori Santo Stefano - Atletico Castegnato	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLTW
- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
03.03.24	Mestre - Union Clodiense	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Mestre - Treviso	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Breno - Mestre	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Mestre - Chions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
01.11.23	Mestre - Atletico Castegnato	0:3

Atletico Castegnato - Mestre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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