Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group G - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Atletico Lodigiani		Paganese

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.35	1.88
	3.65	3.24	1.86
	3.78	3.4	1.89
	4.04	3.38	1.8
	3.75	3.35	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (3.82)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Lodigiani
24%

Draw
27.2%

Paganese
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Lodigiani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Lodigiani than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Atletico Lodigiani - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Marcheggiani F. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Sebastiani C. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Marcheggiani F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 🟥,
75', 3 - 1, Bucolo R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Atletico Lodigiani is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paganese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Atletico Lodigiani have a series of guest games.

In this match Paganese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atletico Lodigiani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Lodigiani
Italian Serie D - Group G
16.02.25	Puteolana - Atletico Lodigiani	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Trastevere - Atletico Lodigiani	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Cassino - Atletico Lodigiani	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Atletico Lodigiani - Ilvamaddalena	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Anzio - Atletico Lodigiani	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
16.02.25	Paganese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Puteolana - Paganese	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Paganese - Cassino	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Real Monterotondo - Paganese	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Paganese - Anzio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
23.10.24	Paganese - Atletico Lodigiani	2:0

Atletico Lodigiani - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide