Match Info

ZAMBIA: Super League - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 4


	Atletico Lusaka		Indeni

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.3	6.25
	1.53	3.35	6.8
	1.53	3.38	6.31
	1.54	3.37	7.02	Watch
	1.51	3.38	7.11
	1.53	3.35	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.82)	3.36 ↑ (2.8)	6.72 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Lusaka
59.4%

Draw
27.1%

Indeni
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

32.4%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

20.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Lusaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Lusaka's performance.

Indeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Lusaka than the current prediction. (-27.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Lusaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indeni than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indeni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atletico Lusaka - Indeni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Malaya S. ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, Chipanama G. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Bwalya T. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Atletico Lusaka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Indeni has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atletico Lusaka is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Lusaka
Zambian Premier League
08.12.24	Mutondo Stars - Atletico Lusaka	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Atletico Lusaka - Red Arrows	0:2 ✺
28.11.24	Lumwana Radiants - Atletico Lusaka	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Atletico Lusaka - Mufulira Wanderers	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Kabwe Warriors - Atletico Lusaka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTL
- Indeni FC
Zambian Premier League
08.12.24	Indeni - Red Arrows	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Mufulira Wanderers - Indeni	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Indeni - Nchanga Rangers	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Green Eagles - Indeni	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Nkwazi - Indeni	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL

Atletico Lusaka - Indeni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide