Match Info

LDF - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Leonel Placido (Puerto Plata)


	Atlántico		Moca

	1	X	2
	12.00	4.80	1.23
	15.08	6	1.17	Watch
	13.30	5.65	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.46 ↑ (8.5)	5.48 ↑ (4.8)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlántico
6.8%

Draw
16.6%

Moca
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

19.1%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

18.4%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlántico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Moca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlántico than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Atlántico - Moca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Atlántico (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlántico (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Comas G. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Oliveros A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Rubirosa Perez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 3, Oliveros A. ⚽,
69', 2 - 3, Rubirosa Perez J. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 8th and 4th in the Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlántico won 1.

Atlántico is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Moca shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Moca as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Atlántico has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:27 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlántico against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Moca	9	3	4	2	7:6	1	11
8	Atlantico	9	0	2	7	8:28	-20	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlántico FC
Dominican Republic LDF
12.09.26	Atlético Vega Real - Atlántico	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Atlántico - Salcedo	1:6 ✺
29.08.26	Atlántico - Cibao	1:4 ✺
25.08.26	Don Bosco Jarabacoa - Atlántico	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Atlántico - Delfines del Este	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLT
- Moca FC
Dominican Republic LDF
13.09.26	Moca - Cibao	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Don Bosco Jarabacoa - Moca	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Universidad O&M - Moca	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	Moca - Salcedo	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Moca - Atlético Vega Real	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Dominican Republic LDF
06.12.25	Moca - Atlántico	1:0
21.09.25	Atlántico - Moca	3:1
Dominican Republic Copa de la LDF
22.04.25	Moca - Atlántico	3:1
Dominican Republic LDF
18.08.24	Atlántico - Moca	2:2
27.07.24	Moca - Atlántico	2:1
23.06.24	Atlántico - Moca	0:1
15.05.24	Moca - Atlántico	1:0

Atlántico - Moca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide