Match Info

Date: 1 August 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Acreano		Castanhal

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Atlético Acreano
16.7%

Draw
24.3%

Castanhal
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.7%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.6%

14.8%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Acreano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Acreano than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Acreano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castanhal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Atlético Acreano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castanhal is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castanhal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castanhal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Acreano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Acreano
Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Atlético Acreano	2:0 ✺
18.07.21	Atlético Acreano - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:1 ✺
10.07.21	Castanhal - Atlético Acreano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
07.07.21	Atlético Acreano - Andirá	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.07.21	Atlético Acreano - Penarol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	Castanhal - Fast Clube	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Fast Clube - Castanhal	1:2 ✺
10.07.21	Castanhal - Atlético Acreano	3:1 ✺
03.07.21	Castanhal - Ypiranga Clube	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Castanhal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWT

Brazilian Serie D
10.07.21	Castanhal - Atlético Acreano	3:1

Atlético Acreano - Castanhal