The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Astorga 37.3%
Draw 31.3%
Marino de Luanco 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
30%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
29.8%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
Preview
Atlético Astorga is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Marino de Luanco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Atlético Astorga has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Astorga has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Astorga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).