Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)


	Atlético Baleares		Atlètic Lleida

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.85	6.1
	1.46	4.02	7.38
	1.59	3.43	6.27	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.53	3.73	6.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	3.73 ↑ (3.68)	6.7 ↓ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
61.5%

Draw
24.7%

Atlètic Lleida
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.6%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.8%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Atlètic Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Atlético Baleares - Atlètic Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Morillo M. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Baleares is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlètic Lleida's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Baleares is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baleares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Baleares	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.03.26	Barcelona B - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Atlético Baleares - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Poblense - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Baleares - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTTW
- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.03.26	Atlètic Lleida - Poblense	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Sant Andreu - Atlètic Lleida	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Atlètic Lleida - Barbastro	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Terrassa - Atlètic Lleida	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Atlètic Lleida - Olot	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Atlético Baleares	0:1

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