Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 4

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Barinas		Atlético El Vigía

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.80	3.80
	1.65	3.8	4.2
	1.65	3.98	3.9
	1.72	4.19	4.02	Watch
	1.63	3.9	3.85
	1.64	3.94	4.22
	1.67	3.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)	3.91 ↑ (3.6)	3.98 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Barinas
54.3%

Draw
23.1%

Atlético El Vigía
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Barinas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Barinas's performance.

Atlético El Vigía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Barinas than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Barinas - Atlético El Vigía Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Barinas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Barinas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Beltran J. ⚽,
49', 4 - 1, Beltran J. ⚽,
85', 4 - 2, ⚽,
88', 5 - 2, Osorio Y. ⚽,

Preview

Atlético Barinas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Vigía is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

El Vigía may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético Barinas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Barinas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Barinas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Barinas
Venezuelan Segunda Division
06.09.26	Atlético Barinas - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Atlético El Vigía - Atlético Barinas	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Atlético El Vigía - Atlético Barinas	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Barinas - Zamora	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
15.08.26	Barquisimeto - Atlético Barinas	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWL
- Atlético El Vigía
Venezuelan Segunda Division
02.09.26	Atlético El Vigía - Atlético Barinas	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Atlético El Vigía - Atlético Barinas	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético El Vigía - Real Fronteras	4:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
15.08.26	Zamora 2 - Atlético El Vigía	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Real Fronteras - Atlético El Vigía	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Segunda Division
02.09.26	Atlético El Vigía - Atlético Barinas	2:1
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Atlético El Vigía - Atlético Barinas	2:0
Venezuelan Segunda Division
31.05.26	Atlético Barinas - Atlético El Vigía	7:1
05.04.26	Atlético El Vigía - Atlético Barinas	3:2

Atlético Barinas - Atlético El Vigía