Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Cali		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.63	3.46	2.06
	3.43	3.41	2.04	Watch
	3.39	3.5	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	2.03 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
26.8%

Draw
27.1%

Cúcuta Deportivo
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

26.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.5%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Atlético Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 7. Aguas Torres J. S. 3. Alomia J. 6. Balanta E. 21. Belalcazar L. 24. Escobar Carabali J. E. 9. Farias J. 18. Mosorongo Zamora N. 25. Pena J. 2. Reales Fontalvo D. M. 4. Sandoval J.	12. Sanchez R. (G) 32. Agudelo J. 13. Anaya J. 17. Arizalas E. 16. Borja A. 3. Calcaterra D. 8. Ceballos J. 20. Diaz J. 21. Guevara L. 49. Hinestroza L. 28. Valencia O.
Substitutes
27. Cano C. 19. Cortez J. 10. Eraso G. 12. Giraldo S. (G) 8. Martinez J. 20. Perdomo J. 16. Quinones J. 17. Riascos L.	2. Ballesteros A. 70. Cruz W. 6. Orozco S. 30. Payares L. 9. Pisano M. 29. Rios L. 24. Roman S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Reales Fontalvo D. M. 🟨,
34', Alomia J. 🟨,
44', Hinestroza L. 🟨,
45+1', Guevara L. 🟨,
45+3', Anaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Sandoval J. 🟨,
57', Diaz J. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
57', Valencia J. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
65', Aguas Torres J. S. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
67', Agudelo J. ↓, Cruz W. ↑,
67', Guevara L. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
74', Farias J. ↓, Belalcazar L. ↑,
74', Pena J. ↓, Eraso G. ↑,
82', Calcaterra D. 🟨,
89', Ceballos J. 🟨,
90', Sandoval J. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 0.

Atlético Cali is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cúcuta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cúcuta is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Cali won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
22.09.25	Real Santander - Atlético Cali	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Cali - Internacional de Palmira	4:2 ✺
08.09.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
02.09.25	Atlético Cali - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera B
30.08.25	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 LWWWW
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera B
21.09.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Barranquilla - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Tigres - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0 ✺
26.08.25	Bogotá - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
20.04.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Cali	4:2
21.07.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Cali	2:0
04.02.24	Atlético Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1
08.11.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Cali	1:0
23.10.23	Atlético Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1
19.08.23	Atlético Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
04.03.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Cali	2:1

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