Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Atlético Central		Bollullos

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)	4.2 ↑ (4)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Central
48.4%

Draw
29.9%

Bollullos
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.5%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Bollullos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bollullos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Madrigal L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Pardo I. 🟥,
60', 2 - 0, Madrigal L. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Atlético Central has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bollullos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Bollullos has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlético Central is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Central won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Central won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Bollullos	5	0	2	3	6:10	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.05.26	Bollullos - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sevilla C - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlético Central - Linense	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Atlético Central - Pozoblanco	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	San Roque de Lepe - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLT
- Bollullos CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.05.26	Bollullos - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Bollullos - Utrera	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Bollullos	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bollullos - Tomares	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Bollullos - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.05.26	Bollullos - Atlético Central	1:0
18.01.26	Atlético Central - Bollullos	2:0
07.09.25	Bollullos - Atlético Central	3:0
16.03.25	Atlético Central - Bollullos	3:0
01.11.24	Bollullos - Atlético Central	0:2

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