Match Info

Mineiro Women - Round 1

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Atlético Mineiro		Itabirito

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.90	4.33
	1.58	3.75	4.40
	1.64	4.13	3.83
	1.62	4.10	3.80
	1.61	4.29	4.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.32)	4.03 ↓ (5.1)	4.16 ↓ (7.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
56%

Draw
22.3%

Itabirito
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

15.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.

Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabirito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabirito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Mineiro - Itabirito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Atlético MG has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Itabirito is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Itabirito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético MG is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atletico-MG W ✔	4	3	1	0	17:1	16	10
3	Itabirito W	4	2	2	0	15:5	10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Mixto - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTL
- Itabirito FC Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
06.09.26	Itabirito - Minas Brasília	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Minas Brasília - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Itabirito - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sport Recife - Itabirito	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Itabirito - Itacoatiara	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Mineiro Women
28.09.25	Itabirito - Atlético Mineiro	2:4
13.10.24	Atlético Mineiro - Itabirito	0:1

Atlético Mineiro - Itabirito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide