Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio 11 de Novembro (Luanda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda		Wydad Casablanca

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.8	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3	2.37
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.7	3.05	2.48
	3.08	2.8	2.48
	2.75	3.32	2.44	Watch
	2.7	3	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (5.53)	2.98 ↓ (3.51)	2.47 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
32.9%

Draw
30.4%

Wydad Casablanca
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

25.8%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

24.9%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Petróleos de Luanda's performance.

Wydad Casablanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wydad Casablanca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Petróleos de Luanda than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Petróleos de Luanda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wydad Casablanca than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wydad Casablanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	10.3%	10.3%

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Wydad Casablanca Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Atlético Petróleos will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Wydad Casablanca will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Petróleos: 64.6% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Petróleos won 1.

Atlético Petróleos is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wydad Casablanca is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético Petróleos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Atlético Petróleos have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético Petróleos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Petróleos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
Angolan Girabola
05.03.23	Libolo - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:2 ✺
01.03.23	Lunda Sul - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.02.23	Wydad Casablanca - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Vita Club - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:2 ✺
Angolan Girabola
14.02.23	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Santa Rita de Cássia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWW
- Wydad Casablanca
Moroccan Botola
07.03.23	Berkane - Wydad Casablanca	3:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
03.03.23	Wydad Casablanca - Vita Club	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
28.02.23	Wydad Casablanca - Olympique Khouribga	3:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.02.23	Wydad Casablanca - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
21.02.23	Difaa El Jadida - Wydad Casablanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
24.02.23	Wydad Casablanca - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:0
13.05.22	Wydad Casablanca - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:1
07.05.22	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Wydad Casablanca	1:3
02.04.22	Wydad Casablanca - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	5:1
19.02.22	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Wydad Casablanca	2:1
10.04.21	Wydad Casablanca - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0
23.02.21	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Wydad Casablanca	0:1

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