The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Roraima 4.2%
Draw 9.7%
Real de São Luiz 86.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.6%
20.3%
65%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.6%
20.3%
65%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Roraima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Roraima's form might have worsened.
Real de São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real de São Luiz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Roraima than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Roraima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real de São Luiz than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real de São Luiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Elyvelton Neguinho ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Alan ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Pablo ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Roraima (Own goal),
79', 3 - 2, Morais R. ⚽,
90', Gabriel 🟨,
90+11', Santos R. 🟥,
90+11', Ligeiro 🟨,
90+11', Carioca H. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Atlético Roraima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Real de São Luiz have a series of home games.
In this match Real de São Luiz is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Roraima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.