Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético Tucumán 2		Instituto 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.63	3.04	2.75
	2.55	3.07	2.7	Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.76
	2.5	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.36)	3 ↑ (2.96)	2.72 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán 2
36.3%

Draw
30.3%

Instituto 2
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Instituto 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Atlético Tucumán 2 - Instituto 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Nazar G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atlético Tucumán 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.25	Platense 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0 ✺
03.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:2 ✺
26.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLTT
- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
24.04.25	Instituto 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Lanús 2 - Instituto 2	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Instituto 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Independiente 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
19.03.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
15.10.24	Instituto 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	4:0
16.05.24	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Instituto 2	0:2
24.08.23	Instituto 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:2
11.03.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Instituto 2	0:3

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