Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético de Rafaela 2		Defensa y Justicia 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.15	3.45	1.85
	3.66	3.43	1.92	Watch
	3	3	2.15
	3.72	3.42	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.8)	3.38 ↑ (3.17)	1.92 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela 2
26.6%

Draw
26.6%

Defensa y Justicia 2
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.8%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Rafaela 2's form might have worsened.

Defensa y Justicia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensa y Justicia 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela 2 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Rafaela 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensa y Justicia 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 3, ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, ⚽,
79', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).

Atl de Rafaela 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Defensa y Justicia 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Defensa y Justicia 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela 2
Argentinian Reserve League
12.05.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Ferro 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLT
- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
12.05.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Platense 2	4:0 ✺
05.05.26	Quilmes 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:2 ✺
21.04.26	Tigre 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWT

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