Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético de Rafaela 2		Sarmiento de Junín 2

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.1	3.18	3.33
	2.11	3.27	3.26	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3
	2.19	3.08	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.27)	3.12 ↓ (3.19)	3.15 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela 2
42.3%

Draw
29%

Sarmiento de Junín 2
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)

Atl de Rafaela 2 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sarmiento 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarmiento 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
26.03.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Platense 2	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Quilmes 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLL
- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.04.26	Racing Club 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Aldosivi 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLLW

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