Match Info

National 2 - Group C - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Aubervilliers		Thionville Lusitanos

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	2	3.4	3.3
	2	3.46	3.37
	2.01	3.49	3.28	Watch
	2.03	3.44	3.23
	2	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.32)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	3.28 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubervilliers
45.5%

Draw
26.7%

Thionville Lusitanos
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubervilliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aubervilliers's performance.

Thionville Lusitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubervilliers than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aubervilliers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Aubervilliers - Thionville Lusitanos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', 1 - 1, Groune A. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Moustaid J. ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Aubervilliers is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thionville Lusitanos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Aubervilliers will win today's game, with odds of 2.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aubervilliers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aubervilliers
French National 1 - Group C
03.05.25	Creteil - Aubervilliers	1:4 ✺
26.04.25	Aubervilliers - Villers Houlgate	6:1 ✺
19.04.25	Chantilly - Aubervilliers	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Aubervilliers - Wasquehal	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Chambly - Aubervilliers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWTWT
- US Thionville Lusitanos
French National 1 - Group C
03.05.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Épinal	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Haguenau - Thionville Lusitanos	4:1 ✺
19.04.25	Thionville Lusitanos - FC 93	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Feignies Aulnoye - Thionville Lusitanos	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
11.01.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Aubervilliers	3:1

Aubervilliers - Thionville Lusitanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide