Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 19

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Aubstadt		Greuther Fürth II

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.35	2.4
	2.61	3.59	2.46
	2.81	3.56	2.22	Watch
	2.57	3.22	2.42
	2.08	3.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.96)	3.41 ↓ (3.73)	2.47 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubstadt
36.1%

Draw
26.9%

Greuther Fürth II
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aubstadt's form might have worsened.

Greuther Fürth II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greuther Fürth II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aubstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greuther Fürth II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Schmidt N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aubstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aubstadt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Furth II	11	3	2	6	15:18	-3	11
18	Aubstadt	11	2	2	7	14:20	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
13.03.26	Aubstadt - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Memmingen - Aubstadt	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Würzburger Kickers - Aubstadt	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Aubstadt - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Wacker Burghausen - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLTT
- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
14.03.26	Eichstätt - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Greuther Fürth II - Hankofen-Hailing	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Buchbach - Greuther Fürth II	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Ingolstadt II - Greuther Fürth II	3:2 ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
29.11.25	Greuther Fürth II - Illertissen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
02.08.25	Greuther Fürth II - Aubstadt	1:2
09.11.24	Greuther Fürth II - Aubstadt	1:1
26.07.24	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	1:3
28.10.23	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	3:0
22.07.23	Greuther Fürth II - Aubstadt	0:3
06.05.23	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	0:0
08.10.22	Greuther Fürth II - Aubstadt	2:1

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