Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 10

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Aubstadt		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.3	2.38
	2.79	3.5	2.37
	2.62	3.34	2.33
	2.42	3.6	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.44)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)	2.39 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubstadt
34.8%

Draw
26.7%

Illertissen
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

25.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Aubstadt - Illertissen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Illertissen (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Illertissen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Cocic M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Sturm S. ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 1, Fischer M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
64', 2 - 2, Hausmann D. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Hingerl M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 4, Gerstmayer D. ⚽,
89', 2 - 5, Gerstmayer D. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 5, Grimm M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 1.

Aubstadt is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Illertissen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aubstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Aubstadt will win today's game, with odds of 2.44.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubstadt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Aubstadt - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.62%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
20.09.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	Unterhaching - Aubstadt	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Aubstadt - Augsburg II	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Vilzing - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
22.08.25	Aubstadt - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LWWWW
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
19.09.25	Illertissen - Augsburg II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Vilzing - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	Memmingen - Illertissen	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	4:1 ✺
22.08.25	Illertissen - Unterhaching	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
16.11.24	Aubstadt - Illertissen	1:3
02.08.24	Illertissen - Aubstadt	3:1
20.04.24	Aubstadt - Illertissen	0:2
03.10.23	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:0
01.04.23	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:3
10.09.22	Aubstadt - Illertissen	4:1
12.03.22	Aubstadt - Illertissen	1:1

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