Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: National League - Championship Group - Round 6

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Kiwitea Street (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Auckland City		Western Springs

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	6
	1.36	5	6	Watch
	1.34	5.3	6.61
	1.37	5.29	6.95	Watch
	1.28	5.4	7.55
	1.36	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.56)	5.17 ↑ (4.13)	6.52 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland City
68.2%

Draw
17.7%

Western Springs
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

20.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland City's performance.

Western Springs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Springs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Springs than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Auckland City - Western Springs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 1 - 0, Lobo N. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Drake R. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Tobin P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
26.10.24	Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City	0:3 ✺
19.10.24	Western Suburbs - Auckland City	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Auckland City - Cashmere Technical	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Auckland City - Birkenhead United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW
- Western Springs AFC
New Zealand National League
26.10.24	Western Springs - Wellington Olympic	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Eastern Suburbs - Western Springs	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Western Springs - Birkenhead United	1:3 ✺
04.10.24	Western Springs - Coastal Spirit	6:2 ✺
28.09.24	Napier City Rovers - Western Springs	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL

Auckland City - Western Springs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide