Match Info

Date: 4 March 2022, Friday


	Auerbach		Tasmania Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.2
	1.75	4.15	3.5
	1.86	3.75	3.5
	1.75	4.16	3.76
	1.81	3.94	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.25)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	3.58 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auerbach
51%

Draw
23.3%

Tasmania Berlin
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

18.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auerbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auerbach's performance.

Tasmania Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tasmania Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auerbach than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasmania Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Auerbach - Tasmania Berlin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Auerbach is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tasmania Berlin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Auerbach could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Auerbach will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Auerbach won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Auerbach
German Regionalliga Nordost
26.02.22	Meuselwitz - Auerbach	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Auerbach - Germania Halberstadt	2:5 ✺
16.02.22	Auerbach - Union Fürstenwalde	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Eilenburg - Auerbach	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Auerbach - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWTL
- Tasmania Berlin
German Regionalliga Nordost
20.02.22	Optik Rathenow - Tasmania Berlin	2:0 ✺
11.02.22	Tasmania Berlin - Berliner FC Dynamo	0:3 ✺
06.02.22	Luckenwalde - Tasmania Berlin	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Tasmania Berlin - Lichtenberg	0:4 ✺
30.01.22	Tasmania Berlin - Chemie Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.09.21	Tasmania Berlin - Auerbach	3:1

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