Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 4

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions (Ilūkste)


	Augšdaugavas		Olaine

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.45
	2.45	3.7	2.3
	2.47	3.99	2.31	Watch
	2.08	4.67	2.6
	2.45	3.7	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.05)	4.01 ↑ (3.8)	2.39 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augšdaugavas
39.2%

Draw
22.7%

Olaine
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

22.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

18.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augšdaugavas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Olaine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augšdaugavas than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augšdaugavas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olaine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Augšdaugavas - Olaine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bambans S. (G) 23. Avdejevs D. 2. Borisovs E. 26. Buks R. 3. Kharchilava S. 22. Kirikovs A. (C) 21. Kokins K. 11. Pinaskins E. 99. Quaye D. 33. Sokolovs V. 7. Volosovs T.	1. Balodis P. (G) 17. Berzins N. 9. Cernovs K. 7. Fjodorovs K. 27. Gorodnickis A. 3. Kozlovskis R. 16. Laptiev O. 23. Pavlenko E. 18. Ruja K. (C) 21. Strelcovs I. 15. Vinogradovs J.
Substitutes
27. Cemodanovs K. 70. Kitsel V. 9. Linards R. 14. Lomako D. 15. Petersons M. 17. Rascevskis R. 10. Skrinda N. 1. Skrupskis V. (G) 20. Vinokurovs A.	35. Antipenkovs I. (G) 4. Butlers R. 10. Hartmanis D. 12. Keziks K. (G) 33. Tribers M. 20. Zemlinskis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Volosovs T. ⚽,
12', Cernovs K. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Kokins K. ⚽,
16', Strelcovs I. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Cernovs K. ⚽,
39', Kozlovskis R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Borisovs E. 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Avdejevs D. ⚽,
79', Pinaskins E. 🟨,
82', 4 - 1, Vinokurovs A. ⚽,
88', Tribers M. 🟨,
90+2', Vinogradovs J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Augšdaugava has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Olaine has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olaine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Augšdaugava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augšdaugavas NSS
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Augšdaugavas - Riga Mariners	1:5 ✺
18.05.25	Rēzekne - Augšdaugavas	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Augšdaugavas	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Augšdaugavas - Ogre United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AFA Olaine
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
25.05.25	Olaine - Riga 2	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	JDFS Alberts - Olaine	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Olaine - Rīgas FS 2	3:3 ✺
04.05.25	Smiltene - Olaine	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:1

Augšdaugavas - Olaine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide