Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Aurrerá de Vitoria		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	1.98
	3.45	3.25	1.9
	3.69	3.33	2.02
	3.55	3.33	1.98	Watch
	3.65	3.25	1.89
	3.62	3.37	1.97
	3.3	3.3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.75)	3.3 ↑ (3)	1.95 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá de Vitoria
25.9%

Draw
27.5%

Real Sociedad C
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurrerá de Vitoria's form might have worsened.

Real Sociedad C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad C's recent form is better than expected.

Aurrerá de Vitoria - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Playoffs).

Real Sociedad C has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad C may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Aurrerá de Vitoria has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aurrerá de Vitoria against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aurrera de Vitoria	8	5	1	2	12:13	-1	16
9	Real Sociedad C	8	3	3	2	13:12	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.09.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	Portugalete - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Derio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WWWLT
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.10.26	Real Sociedad C - Amurrio	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Real Sociedad C - Real Unión B	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Pasaia - Real Sociedad C	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Real Sociedad C - Lagun Onak	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Derio - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1
21.09.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Real Sociedad C	0:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.10.17	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Real Sociedad C	1:2

Aurrerá de Vitoria - Real Sociedad C