Match Info

Date: 4 August 2021, Wednesday


	Austin Bold		Colorado Springs Switchbacks

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.13	3.25	3
	2.22	3.41	3.25
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.17	3.46	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	3.32 ↓ (3.55)	3.12 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin Bold
43.1%

Draw
27.6%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

20.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin Bold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin Bold's form might have worsened.

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colorado Springs Switchbacks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin Bold than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin Bold, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colorado Springs Switchbacks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Austin Bold - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7).

Austin has the most likely position - 6 (30.6%), has project points - 44, has currently - 20, has a chance of playoffs (43%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Colorado Springs has the most likely position - 5 (18.71%), has project points - 47, has currently - 21, has a good chance of playoffs (62%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Austin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Austin won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Austin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin Bold
USL Championship
31.07.21	Austin Bold - San Antonio	0:3 ✺
24.07.21	Rio Grande Valley - Austin Bold	1:1 ✺
18.07.21	Austin Bold - Real Monarchs	1:0 ✺
07.07.21	Austin Bold - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
03.07.21	San Antonio - Austin Bold	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWTW
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
31.07.21	Loudoun United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:3 ✺
23.07.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Antonio	2:3 ✺
09.07.21	New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:1 ✺
04.07.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Real Monarchs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.06.21	Austin Bold - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:3
26.08.20	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Austin Bold	4:4
07.09.19	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Austin Bold	1:1
29.06.19	Austin Bold - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	5:0

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