Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-macedonia	SportKlub 3, TDM Desporto
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Slovenia	SportKlub 3, SportKlub 5
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	Sport 24 Extra
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic


	Australia		China

	1	X	2
	1.11	9	26	Watch
	1.14	8.25	17.5
	1.12	7.5	23
	1.15	7.42	20.18
	1.15	7.06	17.39	Watch
	1.11	8	17
	1.14	7.7	22	Watch
	1.12	7.5	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.18)	7.8 ↑ (6.5)	20.76 ↑ (15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Australia
83.4%

Draw
12.1%

China
4.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.4%

14.4%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	4.5%	13.6%

Australia - China Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 17 - 81%). China will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Australia: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Gauci J. (G) Aston Villa 2. Deng T. Albirex Niigata 4. Rowles K. Hearts 19. Souttar H. Sheffield Utd 3. Miller L. Hibernian 16. Behich A. Melbourne City 13. O'Neill A. St. Liege 22. Irvine J. (C) St. Pauli 23. Goodwin C. Al Wehda 11. Irankunda N. Bayern 15. Duke M. Machida Zelvia	14. Wang Dalei (C) Shandong Taishan 2. Browning T. Shanghai Port 13. Hu H. Chengdu Rongcheng 16. Jiang Shenglong Shanghai Shenhua 4. Li Lei Beijing Guoan 20. Xie Wenneng Shandong Taishan 6. Wang Shangyuan Henan Songshan Longmen 8. LI Yuanyi Shandong Taishan 10. Wei Shihao Chengdu Rongcheng 17. Fernandinho Shandong Taishan 9. Zhang Yuning Beijing Guoan
Substitutes
17. Baccus K. Mansfield 5. Bos J. Westerlo 20. Brattan L. Macarthur FC 21. Burgess C. Ipswich 8. Geria J. Melbourne Victory 10. Hrustic A. Salernitana 12. Izzo P. (G) Randers FC 14. McGree R. Middlesbrough 1. Ryan M. (G) AS Roma 9. Stamatelopoulos A. Motherwell 7. Velupillay N. Melbourne Victory 6. Yazbek P. Nashville SC	23. Abduweli Behram Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 15. Cheng Jin Zhejiang Professional 18. Han Pengfei Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 22. Huang Zhengyu Shandong Taishan 11. Lin Liangming Beijing Guoan 12. Liu Dianzuo (G) Wuhan Three Towns 19. Liu Yang Shandong Taishan 21. Wang Haijian Shanghai Shenhua 5. Wei Zhen Shanghai Port 7. Xu Haoyang Shanghai Shenhua 1. Yan Junling (G) Shanghai Port
Coaches
Popovic T.	Ivankovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Xie Wenneng ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
36', Li Lei 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Miller L. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Irankunda N. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
46', Xie Wenneng ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
46', Deng T. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Goodwin C. ⚽, Irvine J. (A),
66', Wang Shangyuan 🟨,
68', Zhang Yuning ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
68', Wei Shihao ↓, Cheng Jin ↑,
75', Behich A. ↓, Bos J. ↑,
77', Li Lei ↓, Liu Yang ↑,
83', Duke M. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽,
90+4', Goodwin C. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,

Preview

In this match Australia is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Australia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Indonesia - Australia	0:0 ✺
05.09.24	Australia - Bahrain	0:1 ✺
11.06.24	Australia - Palestine	5:0 ✺
06.06.24	Bangladesh - Australia	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Lebanon - Australia	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWWW
- China
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	China - Saudi Arabia	1:2 ✺
05.09.24	Japan - China	7:0 ✺
11.06.24	South Korea - China	1:0 ✺
06.06.24	China - Thailand	1:1 ✺
26.03.24	China - Singapore	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
16.11.21	China - Australia	1:1
02.09.21	Australia - China	3:0
Asian Cup
22.01.15	China - Australia	0:2
EAFF E-1
28.07.13	Australia - China	3:4

Australia - China: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide