Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga West - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Max-Aicher-Stadion (Salzburg)


	Austria Salzburg		FC Pinzgau Saalfelden

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	8.25
	1.23	6.2	8
	1.22	6.87	7.21
	1.25	6	7
	1.2	6.25	9.4
	1.23	6.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.55)	6.25 ↑ (4.5)	7.98 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Salzburg
74.1%

Draw
14.5%

FC Pinzgau Saalfelden
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

20.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

18.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria Salzburg's performance.

FC Pinzgau Saalfelden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Pinzgau Saalfelden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Salzburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Pinzgau Saalfelden than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Pinzgau Saalfelden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Zia R. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Volkert A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Sorda M. ⚽,
55', 4 - 0, Savic M. ⚽,
56', 5 - 0, Schiedermeier N. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Austria Salzburg won 3.

Austria Salzburg in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches FC Pinzgau is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

FC Pinzgau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently FC Pinzgau have a series of home games.

In this match Austria Salzburg is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Austria Salzburg won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Austria Salzburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Austria Salzburg
Austrian Regionalliga West
21.09.24	Lauterach - Austria Salzburg	1:4 ✺
14.09.24	Austria Salzburg - Reichenau	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Kuchl - Austria Salzburg	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Austria Salzburg - St. Johann im Pongau	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Rheindorf Altach U21 - Austria Salzburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWW
- FC Pinzgau Saalfelden
Austrian Regionalliga West
21.09.24	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Röthis	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Imst	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Wals-Grünau	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Lauterach - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Reichenau	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga West
11.11.23	Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	1:0
29.07.23	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg	0:1
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
22.10.22	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg	1:0
15.08.22	Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	1:0
04.09.21	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg	1:1
26.09.20	Austria Salzburg - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	2:1
15.08.20	FC Pinzgau Saalfelden - Austria Salzburg	0:2

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