Match Info

NORWAY: TOPPSERIEN WOMEN - ROUND 24

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Avaldsnes		Arna-Bjørnar

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.15
	2.8	3.6	2.2
	2.84	3.83	2.25
	2.84	3.83	2.25
	2.75	3.58	2.18
	2.75	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.24)	3.64 ↑ (3.51)	2.21 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaldsnes
33.1%

Draw
25.2%

Arna-Bjørnar
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

24.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaldsnes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaldsnes's form might have worsened.

Arna-Bjørnar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arna-Bjørnar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaldsnes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaldsnes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arna-Bjørnar than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arna-Bjørnar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avaldsnes - Arna Bjørnar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ervik S. (C) 13. Brakstad L. 4. Olsen K. 5. Duah S. 2. Lovas S. 10. Badu E. 8. Jastad I. 14. Ostenstad S. 3. Oritzland T. K. 15. Natvik I. 9. Svandal K.	24. Larsen H. (G) 4. Ose T. 6. Hovland S. (C) 25. Chebel I. 19. Saelen L. 13. Andresen M. 8. Noss N. 18. Nigardsoy A. 23. Nyhagen M. 9. Aas S. 37. Vedeler V.
Substitutes
17. Dahl H. 19. Haugland M. 11. Hovmark M. 7. Hovring I. 20. Nybru K. 21. Sorensen V. 22. Velde N.	21. Boubezari H. 43. Dalsgard M. 16. Folland M. 5. Gausdal I. 17. Hjelmhaug K. 3. Johannsdottir M. 15. Stenersen H.
Coaches
Riise J.	Mork T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaldsnes won 1.

Avaldsnes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arna-Bjørnar is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arna-Bjørnar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Avaldsnes won 13 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 38-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Avaldsnes won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaldsnes IL Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
14.10.23	Vålerenga - Avaldsnes	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Lyn - Avaldsnes	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Avaldsnes - Brann	0:8 ✺
09.09.23	Avaldsnes - Åsane	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	LSK Kvinner - Avaldsnes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Arna-Bjørnar Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
14.10.23	Arna-Bjørnar - Brann	0:4 ✺
04.10.23	Vålerenga - Arna-Bjørnar	4:2 ✺
16.09.23	Stabæk - Arna-Bjørnar	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Arna-Bjørnar - Røa	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Rosenborg - Arna-Bjørnar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Toppserien Women
24.06.23	Avaldsnes - Arna-Bjørnar	2:4
29.04.23	Arna-Bjørnar - Avaldsnes	2:3
23.10.22	Arna-Bjørnar - Avaldsnes	3:1
07.08.22	Arna-Bjørnar - Avaldsnes	2:1
03.04.22	Avaldsnes - Arna-Bjørnar	0:3
07.11.21	Avaldsnes - Arna-Bjørnar	1:3
Norwegian Cup Women
25.08.21	Avaldsnes - Arna-Bjørnar	4:0

Avaldsnes - Arna-Bjørnar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide