The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avangard Kursk 24.7%
Draw 31.1%
Irtysh Omsk 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
31.7%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
29.9%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Avangard Kursk - Irtysh Omsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Tashaev R. (G) 7. Balashov K. 9. Beskorovaynyi D. 11. Ignatenko V. 67. Kozyrev V. 4. Mamkin I. 94. Nadolskiy A. 25. Nekrasov A. 71. Shchipachev V. 10. Slobodchikov M. 46. Sukharev A.
16. Savin A. (G) 89. Dorofeev N. 7. Geryugov A. 18. Krylov I. 8. Maleev A. 44. Sadykov B. 6. Saraev K. 25. Solovyov A. 19. Ustinov V. 59. Yanchenko V. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.
Substitutes
1. Artemov N. (G) 18. Balitsky E. 26. Borisov S. 3. Cheremisin D. 57. Konshin D. 78. Kumsarov D. 96. Senik D.
49. Bykov V. 12. Kazantsev D. 2. Kleyner D. 11. Kopylov D. 93. Markin M. 60. Poletaev V. (G) 17. Shleermakher A. 24. Shokhin K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Sukharev A. (Own goal),
24', Balashov K. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Ignatenko V. (Pen),
43', 1 - 2, Yanushkovskiy R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 3, Yanushkovskiy R. ⚽,
56', Mamkin I. 🟨,
57', Sukharev A. ↓, Kumsarov D. ↑,
57', Nekrasov A. ↓, Senik D. ↑,
57', Slobodchikov M. ↓, Konshin D. ↑,
67', Beskorovaynyi D. ↓, Borisov S. ↑,
70', Shchipachev V. 🟨,
77', Yanchenko V. ↓, Bykov V. ↑,
77', Dorofeev N. ↓, Markin M. ↑,
77', Maleev A. ↓, Shokhin K. ↑,
82', Yanushkovskiy R. 🟨,
83', Geryugov A. ↓, Kazantsev D. ↑,
88', Balashov K. ↓, Cheremisin D. ↑,
90+2', Bykov V. 🟨,
90+2', Krylov I. ↓, Shleermakher A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
Avangard Kursk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Irtysh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Irtysh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Irtysh has had a series of home games.
Irtysh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Irtysh Omsk - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Tashaev R. (G) 
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