Match Info

3rd Division - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Avarta		Sundby

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	1.93	3.7	3.05
	2.24	3.52	2.83
				Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.22	3.4	2.82
	1.93	3.7	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.41)	3.5 ↑ (3.42)	2.88 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avarta
42.8%

Draw
25.8%

Sundby
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avarta's performance.

Sundby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avarta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avarta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundby than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Avarta - Sundby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Avarta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avarta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Avarta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Avarta - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avarta
Danish 3 Division
30.05.25	FA 2000 - Avarta	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Avarta - Lyseng	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Avarta - Holstebro	2:5 ✺
14.05.25	Sundby - Avarta	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Avarta - Young Boys FD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLLW
- Sundby BK
Danish 3 Division
31.05.25	Sundby - Young Boys FD	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Holstebro - Sundby	4:1 ✺
17.05.25	FA 2000 - Sundby	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	Sundby - Avarta	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sundby - FA 2000	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
14.05.25	Sundby - Avarta	1:0
27.10.24	Avarta - Sundby	1:2
04.10.24	Sundby - Avarta	2:0

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