The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí U20 40.2%
Draw 28.4%
Chapecoense U20 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
27%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
30%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Chapecoense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Avaí U20 - Chapecoense U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Luizao (Penalty Awarded),
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 🟥,
73', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
Avaí U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chapecoense U20 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Chapecoense U20 has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avaí U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Avaí U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).