Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Avezzano		Polisportiva Vastogirardi

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.6	3.37	4.58
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.61	3.64	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)	3.5 ↓ (3.75)	4.83 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avezzano
56%

Draw
25.5%

Polisportiva Vastogirardi
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

24.2%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

23%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avezzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avezzano's form might have worsened.

Polisportiva Vastogirardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polisportiva Vastogirardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avezzano than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avezzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polisportiva Vastogirardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Avezzano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vastogirardi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vastogirardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Avezzano is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Avezzano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avezzano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.01.24	Sambenedettese - Avezzano	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Avezzano - Real Monterotondo	6:1 ✺
07.01.24	Fossombrone - Avezzano	0:0 ✺
20.12.23	Avezzano - Sora	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Fano - Avezzano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWL
- Polisportiva Vastogirardi
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.01.24	Sora - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Fano	2:2 ✺
20.12.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Roma City	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Tivoli Calcio - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Vigor Senigallia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
01.10.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Avezzano	1:5
06.04.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Avezzano	1:0

Avezzano - Polisportiva Vastogirardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide