Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Avezzano		Tivoli Calcio

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.1
	1.75	3.92	3.52
	1.76	3.92	3.52
	1.67	3.5	4
	1.71	3.52	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	3.89 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avezzano
52.5%

Draw
24.4%

Tivoli Calcio
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avezzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avezzano's form might have worsened.

Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Calcio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avezzano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avezzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avezzano - Tivoli Calcio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Avezzano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tivoli is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Avezzano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Avezzano to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avezzano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.12.23	Vigor Senigallia - Avezzano	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Avezzano - Roma City	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	L Aquila - Avezzano	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Avezzano - Atletico Ascoli	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Matese - Avezzano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWW
- Tivoli Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.12.23	Tivoli Calcio - Sora	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Fano - Tivoli Calcio	0:3 ✺
19.11.23	Roma City - Tivoli Calcio	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Ardea - Tivoli Calcio	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.11.23	Tivoli Calcio - Real Monterotondo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWLLL

Avezzano - Tivoli Calcio

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Avezzano - Tivoli Calcio Predictions

Preview

Form

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