Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Avilés Stadium		Llanes

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.73	3.04	2.45
	2.45	3.3	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.11)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	2.6 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avilés Stadium
35.3%

Draw
29.6%

Llanes
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avilés Stadium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avilés Stadium's form might have worsened.

Llanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llanes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Avilés Stadium is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llanes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avilés Stadium will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Avilés Stadium won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Avilés Stadium won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avilés Stadium CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Luarca - Avilés Stadium	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Ceares - Avilés Stadium	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Avilés Stadium - Llanera	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Avilés Stadium - Praviano	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lealtad - Avilés Stadium	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTT
- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Llanes - Llanera	1:7 ✺
04.02.24	Praviano - Llanes	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Llanes - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Llanes - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lenense - Llanes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.10.23	Llanes - Avilés Stadium	0:0
22.01.23	Llanes - Avilés Stadium	2:2
18.09.22	Avilés Stadium - Llanes	1:0

Avilés Stadium - Llanes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide