Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Avilés Stadium		Gijón Industrial

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.84	3.36	3.88
	2.22	3.02	3.35	Watch
	1.85	3.34	3.87
	2.44	3.2	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.42)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	3.51 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avilés Stadium
45.3%

Draw
28.5%

Gijón Industrial
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avilés Stadium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avilés Stadium's performance.

Gijón Industrial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gijón Industrial might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avilés Stadium that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gijón Industrial than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gijón Industrial could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avilés Stadium - Gijón Industrial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Mario L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avilés Stadium won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Avilés Stadium won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avilés Stadium CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Praviano - Avilés Stadium	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Avilés Stadium - Lenense	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	San Martín - Avilés Stadium	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Avilés Stadium - Covadonga	0:4 ✺
07.09.25	Tuilla - Avilés Stadium	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLLW
- UD Gijón Industrial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Gijón Industrial - Llanera	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Real Titánico - Gijón Industrial	3:3 ✺
21.09.25	Gijón Industrial - Llanes	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Gijón Industrial - LEntregu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.05.24	Gijón Industrial - Avilés Stadium	1:2
07.01.24	Avilés Stadium - Gijón Industrial	2:1
21.02.21	Avilés Stadium - Gijón Industrial	1:1

Avilés Stadium - Gijón Industrial: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide