Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Avilés Stadium |
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Mosconia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.25 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
|
 |
3.78 |
2.89 |
2.11 |
|
 |
4.38 |
3.16 |
1.84 |
 Watch |
 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2 |
|
 |
3.78 |
3.26 |
2.01 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↓
(5.25) |
3.04 ↓
(3.28) |
1.95 ↑
(1.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Avilés Stadium
22.8% | Draw
30.2% | Mosconia
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avilés Stadium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avilés Stadium's performance.Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avilés Stadium that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mosconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Avilés Stadium - Mosconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Heres D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 84', 2 - 0, Jimenez B. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Avilés Stadium may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Mosconia is a strong favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avilés Stadium won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).Including home matches between the teams, Avilés Stadium won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 11 |
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| 16 | Aviles Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 | | | 16.11.25 | Mosconia - Avilés Stadium | 2:0 | | 02.02.25 | Avilés Stadium - Mosconia | 1:3 | | 22.09.24 | Mosconia - Avilés Stadium | 3:1 | | 07.02.21 | Avilés Stadium - Mosconia | 0:0 |
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