Match Info

National League - Round 17

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Ayeyawady United		Dagon Port

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.68	2.95
	2	3.83	3.02	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3
	1.94	3.74	3.14	Watch
	1.96	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.51)	3.68 ↓ (4.4)	3.02 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayeyawady United
45.8%

Draw
24.4%

Dagon Port
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayeyawady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayeyawady United's form might have worsened.

Dagon Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dagon Port's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayeyawady United than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayeyawady United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagon Port than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dagon Port, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ayeyawady United - Dagon Port Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Hein Htet Aung ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Dagon Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ayeyawady United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ayeyawady United is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ayeyawady United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ayeyawady United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ayeyawady	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayeyawady United
Myanmar National League
10.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Shan United	1:3 ✺
29.01.26	Ayeyawady United - Dagon	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Hanthawaddy United - Ayeyawady United	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Ayeyawady United - Yangon United	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Ayeyawady United - ISPE	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Dagon Port FC
Myanmar National League
04.02.26	Dagon Port - Dagon	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Dagon Port - Hanthawaddy United	1:4 ✺
23.01.26	Yangon United - Dagon Port	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Dagon Port - Mahar United	4:4 ✺
11.01.26	Shan United - Dagon Port	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
19.09.25	Dagon Port - Ayeyawady United	0:4
02.02.25	Dagon Port - Ayeyawady United	2:4
14.07.24	Ayeyawady United - Dagon Port	1:2
Myanmar MNL League Cup
06.04.24	Dagon Port - Ayeyawady United	1:2

Ayeyawady United - Dagon Port: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide