Match Info

3. Lig Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Ayvalıkgücü		Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.42
	2.8	2.63	2.71
	3.13	3.11	2.24	Watch
	3.11	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3	3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.41)	2.99 ↓ (3.26)	2.4 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayvalıkgücü
30.7%

Draw
30.9%

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayvalıkgücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayvalıkgücü's form might have worsened.

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayvalıkgücü than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayvalıkgücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Ayvalıkgücü - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kaya K. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Yildirim T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+1', 1 - 2, Tuncer A. H. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 3, Cift A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Ayvalıkgücü have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kahramanmaraş is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ayvalıkgücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Ayvalıkgücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayvalıkgücü
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
19.05.25	Ayvalıkgücü - Küçükçekmece	4:1 ET ✺
15.05.25	Küçükçekmece - Ayvalıkgücü	1:0 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
26.04.25	Ayvalıkgücü - Pazarspor	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Viranşehir - Ayvalıkgücü	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Ayvalıkgücü - 1922 Konyaspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWT
- Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
19.05.25	Sebat Gençlik - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Sebat Gençlik	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Kırıkkale	2:0 ET ✺
05.05.25	Kırıkkale - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Zonguldak Kömürspor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
20.02.16	Ayvalıkgücü - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	1:0

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