Match Info

UEFA Nations League Women - League C - Round 5

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Lithuania	LRT Plius, LRT TV


	Azerbaijan W		Lithuania W

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	11.5
	1.18	5.5	13	Watch
	1.18	5.68	11.13
	1.2	5.63	12.62	Watch
	1.06	7	23
	1.28	5.69	8.67	Watch
	1.18	5.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.08)	5.79 ↓ (7)	13.27 ↓ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azerbaijan W
77.3%

Draw
15.8%

Lithuania W
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.1%

12.7%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azerbaijan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Lithuania W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Azerbaijan W - Lithuania W Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Azerbaijan will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Azerbaijan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Aliyeva N. (G) 3. Mahsimova Z. Amed Sportif Faliyetler 23. Acar Y. Fatih Vatanspor 4. Mirzaliyeva N. Zenit St Petersburg 20. Bozdag P. Fatih Vatanspor 18. Dorofeyeva A. Rubin Kazan 5. Ahmadova A. Unye Kadin 9. Jafarzade S. (C) Krasnodar 7. Mollayeva M. Neftci Baku 14. Aliyeva J. Neftci Baku 6. Manya E. Fatih Vatanspor	22. Seskute M. (G) Gintra Universitetas 23. Rogaciova L. 14. Liuzinaite M. (C) 13. Neverdauskaite V. Gintra Universitetas 6. Romanovskaja T. Gintra Universitetas 4. Mikutaite A. Gintra Universitetas 20. Vaitukaityte L. Como 21. Kriauciunaite E. 5. Griksaite M. 7. Lazdauskaite U. 9. Jonusaite R. Servette
Substitutes
16. Asadova K. Neftci Baku 21. Jafarova F. Neftci Baku 2. Mammadova D. Rubin Kazan 15. Mammadova K. Okzhetpes 17. Muradova A. 13. Nahmadova A. Neftci Baku 19. Rahimova M. 10. Salamzada A. Neftci Baku 11. Seyfatdinova V. Neftci Baku 12. Shahmammadova M. (G) Neftci Baku 1. Sharifova A. (G) Neftci Baku 8. Teymurova F. Neftci Baku	18. Andrijevskyte A. 17. Bernotaite A. 15. Blazevicute J. 12. Curukova K. (G) 11. Galkina M. Gintra Universitetas 8. Supelyte E. Gintra Universitetas 16. Svarcaite V. 19. Valikoniene G. 10. Zizyte L. Gintra Universitetas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Jonusaite R. ⚽, Kriauciunaite E. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Griksaite M. ⚽, Lazdauskaite U. (A),
30', 0 - 3, Jonusaite R. ⚽, Vaitukaityte L. (A),
38', Jafarzade S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 4, Lazdauskaite U. ⚽, Vaitukaityte L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Manya E. ↓, Salamzada A. ↑,
46', Aliyeva N. ↓, Sharifova A. ↑,
48', 0 - 5, Romanovskaja T. ⚽,
59', Griksaite M. 🟨,
70', Kriauciunaite E. ↓, Svarcaite V. ↑,
76', Mahsimova Z. ↓, Seyfatdinova V. ↑,
76', Mikutaite A. ↓, Valikoniene G. ↑,
77', Aliyeva J. 🟨,
80', Aliyeva J. ↓, Asadova K. ↑,
86', Lazdauskaite U. ↓, Blazevicute J. ↑,
86', Jonusaite R. ↓, Galkina M. ↑,
90+4', Romanovskaja T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Azerbaijan is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Azerbaijan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azerbaijan W
UEFA Nations League Women
08.04.25	Montenegro W - Azerbaijan W	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Lithuania W - Azerbaijan W	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Azerbaijan W - Montenegro W	0:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
02.12.24	Russia W - Azerbaijan W	1:0 ✺
28.11.24	Russia W - Azerbaijan W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTLL
- Lithuania W
UEFA Nations League Women
04.04.25	Lithuania W - Azerbaijan W	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Montenegro W - Lithuania W	3:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
24.10.24	Estonia W - Lithuania W	2:2 ✺
UEFA Euro Women
16.07.24	Lithuania W - Georgia W	0:1 ✺
12.07.24	Cyprus W - Lithuania W	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League Women
04.04.25	Lithuania W - Azerbaijan W	0:2

Azerbaijan W - Lithuania W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide